@Frank
Thanks for your contribution and writing so frankly.
There is no right or wrong viewpoint on this issue.
In fact most BEV Boffins will surely agree with the main thrust of your contribution which is that
1.people move onto BEVs for many reasons, not only environment
2.BEVs should be considered a transitional phase to a hydrogen economy.
3.The transition will last very long as ICE will be around for several decades more before a clear competition between BEVs and Hydrogen cells begins.
You are right. That how things seem to be heading.
The concern is will we do more harm with such a transition particularly if we continue to have ICE for several more years together with BEVs both with no long term future but with a high pollution burden?.
... If yes, then are there simple mitigating factors that we could do to help knowing that not all pro-environmental ideas are actually of significant benefit?
For example, the solar water heating panels which one sees as single small size solar units on town houses in inner city areas. These units produce hot water to about 56 Celsius only in summer and are completely useless in winter. They require pumps which must be on 24/7 and the power used for these pumps is from the national grid. The end result is that these water heating solar units consume more electricity / energy than it would have required to produce the same amount of hot water by a modern combi boiler.
The switch to BEVs is seen by some like these solar water heating units.
Taken in isolation it looks good but probably looked at comprehensively and holistically is worse.
I must praise those members who have BEVs and also have electricity generating solar panels +/- storage batteries and have complete or almost 100% electricity independence. I think such members are doing the environment Good definitely.
I am not sure one if one does any good with EVs alone.
I get the fact that smog disappeared from cities and towns during the lockdown. Yes older vehicles pollute badly with exhaust fumes but a large part of this disappearance of smog was also because factories, businesses were shut and coal powered electricity production was at its lowest ever in the modern era worldwide.
In fact some say if we continued producing electricity the way we do now and replaced very single vehicle on the road with a BEV then our smog problem will be 10 times worse and in addition there would be significant shortage of electricity.
The game charger for BEVs therefore is not BEV for sake of BEV but improvement in electric power production.
The argument therefore is given the limitations, cost, ethical issues and problems of disposal of batteries, a quicker transition to another fuel(hydrogen) that is even safer and cheaper and eliminates the colossal issue of batteries is therefore very likely and this may be why companies like Ford until this year had not bothered to come into the BEV market. Does this really mean, the BEV market is likely to be short lived?.... Well no
There are analysts who claim BEVs are here to stay because hydrogen is very far from being safe and freely available. Plus the general public have rightly or wrongly bought into the idea that BEVs are good.
Then there is the issue of Elon Musk.
Elon Musk (Tesla) keeps hinting to all who bother to follow that Tesla may have cracked the battery production issue by finding a way of switching to solid state batteries which will give a range of 800 to 1000 miles per charge and 1million miles life time range.
If this happens then whether it is beneficial or detrimental to the environment will not matter anymore. All the oil and Gas companies will switch overnight to electricity production and the pollution will continue not only from the BEVs producing toxic particles because of their weight but also from gas and oil power plants/ generators and booster stations that will be required worldwide to meet the electricity demand for BEV charging. The public will be happier that it is not their BEVs exhaust that is producing the pollution and the power companies will just quibble amongst themselves as to who is greenest.
Most consumers will however go for the cheapest electricity whether it is green or not as electricity prices shoot up even night time prices.
What ever your reason for buying your BEV or even if you do not have a BEV yet let's know your opinion. It was excellent reading what
@Frank wrote. What are your thoughts on this issue.